The name of this science-fiction writer, author of over a hundred novels and articles, is widely known. But Arthur C. Clarke is not only a writer. He is also a versatile scientist with extensive knowledge in mathematics, physics, astronomy. In addition, he's a brilliant futurist, forecasts which differ in that they tend to come true.
Back in 1945, he predicted the telecommunication satellite system, which caused an ironic laugh from his fellow scientists.
Some time later, he described the flight of humans to the moon, and in the mid-80 's predicted ' millennium bug ' - the possibility of computer malfunction in early 2000.
In late 2000, a scientist, presented in the British newspaper ...
Clark claimed that in 2001 the satellite of Jupiter - Europe - will be found signs of life. 3 years later, in 2004, there will be the first human cloning. In 2010, the space will be launched handheld lasers that can get energy directly from space. Even after 4 years on the earth's orbit will be in special ships, hotels for those who want to spend your vacation in space. Later, the majority of people on Earth will live on space stations, which will be connected to the earth's surface with special systems of lifting and launching assemblies.
Long-standing dream of the alchemists to learn how to extract gold from other metals, realized in 2015, and 2021 people will land on Mars and begin to explore this ' red ' planet.
With the establishment of special techniques learned in 2024 will fix the signals of unknown advanced civilization, located in the center of the Galaxy. Long before the end of the millennium earthlings may be connected to the intergalactic internet, which will become as commonplace as the Earth's World Wide Web, and to be able to download a huge library of innumerable foreign cultures. Around the same time, special training will be invented helmets, allowing anyone to get all kinds of knowledge, it is not attending schools, thanks to a built-in helmet computer information that is transmitted directly into the brain.
Every person at birth is a special microchip implant that would eliminate the fingerprinting because it can always be not only identify, but also to find, wherever they may be.
Special robots will be able to not only perform domestic work, and play with children. However, Clark wondered whether the inhabitants of the earth will remain after 1000 years of people - many of the studies suggest that even in this century artificial intelligence may exceed human. In this case, people will have to share your planet, at least, with one more look, and perhaps with a few.
Man of the future will be able to make virtual trips to various corners of the universe and all the moments of the past.
As early as 2045 people will learn to support themselves only through the processing of wastes. Practically disappear from the tables of the meat, as all become vegetarians.
Five years later, in 2050, millions of people on earth will want to freeze yourself in special refrigerators to resurface in the future for a new life. However, after more than 40 years, these refrigerators are no longer needed, as will a new ice age. But Clark is sure that humanity will be able to safely overcome this disaster began intensively to burn gas and oil, which will create a greenhouse effect and stabilize the Earth's climate.
Clark believes that the British Isles will not be there, where now. Due to tectonic changes, they move about 20 meters to the east.
In 2095 will be set up aircraft with the ability to fly at speeds approaching the speed of light.
In the XXI century, our civilization will continue to threaten the asteroids and comets. The scientist says that if the two neutron stars collide at a distance of up to several thousand light years from the solar system, the gamma rays that result from the explosion, can result in death all life forms, except for the ocean.
But the most unique and breath- ability of the new millennium is, in his words that some people alive today will be able to witness the onset of 3001, and the fourth millennium. This will be possible as a result of achieving biological immortality and open way of recovery after a man of many tens or even hundreds of years.
All this is only a fraction of that predicted by Arthur C. Clarke. He believes that in this century inhabitants of the earth nearer to the image of Superman, which said many philosophers. But at the same time it can lead to a strong simplification of human life, when the notion of the senses and the soul will cease to be overriding, and their place will be cool and cold calculation.
On many of his other prophecies, the writer prefers to remain silent, offering to test their predictions of December 31, 2100.
Author: I. Myus.
Source: ' An interesting paper. Incredible '№ 21 2008.
==============================.
NICE to be an authority.
( Arthur C. Clarke FORECAST FOR THE XXI CENTURY ).
Vladimir Gakov.
Even those who do not read science fiction, and in general can not stand, know the name of Arthur C. Clarke. Glory brought him not only numerous novels, but the film ...
Among the recognized oracles of modern English fiction, and popularizer of science, the authority of first-class. And what is particularly interesting: the very few succeeded in the field of prophecy - but strictly scientific! .
In our country, is widely known for his many science-fiction novels. But no less interesting in terms of prognosis and journalistic non-fiction books Clarke - ... Life in the XXI Century ... And even then, that many of the predictions were not realized it - or is unlikely to be fulfilled in those terms that have the famous science fiction - not damaged reputation of the writer.
SF with optimism and IRONY.
And at the very threshold of the prophet in 2000 made a second attempt to draw a ... She appeared on the Internet at the web page AsiaNews - and probably, therefore, in anticipation of Clark felt a kind of ...
As can be seen from the table, the British science fiction writer in the past three and a half decades have not changed the sense of technological optimism, however, badly adjusted. At the same time Clark maintains in relation to its projected a general irony and not inclined to strike a pose sinless prophet. This confirms the author has an introduction, which is worth quoting in full:.
... And personally I have always resisted any attempt to stick my label ... I would prefer a different term: ... All I was trying to do - at least in his popular science books - is to provide the reader a fan of the possible future. At the same time not forgetting to add that any, even the most remarkable foresight could not survive the years and read and turn into absurdity due to some totally unforeseen event or invention.
A classic example is the statement by Chairman of the Board of Directors of the company IBM, made in the late 1940s: the head of the future software giant then claimed that the demand of world market for computers is unlikely to exceed five (! ) Copies. Even today, in my office there are more - and they continue to multiply like rabbits.
Although perhaps not for me to criticize the Thomas J. Watson Sr., who belongs to the historical and forecast. In the story ... Today I think differently: well, if we are able to carry out such a task, the commercials by 2010.
On the other hand, in 1951, when it was published, my other book, ... However, Armstrong and Aldrin furnished me almost a decade.
Still, to me personally, I think there is something to be proud. Orbiting satellites are in orbit today, it was there where I put them in an article back in 1945. And I, of course, it's nice to hear people say: ...
A whole chapter called ...
And I'm not only pointed to its possible origin, but also suggested ways to treat!.
But even taking into account all the above, my predictions on the chart XXI century will certainly be taken with some reservations - similar to those warnings that are printed on cigarette packs. Something like:.
...
With respect to certain specified events (especially space research ), I am almost sure of dates and deadlines. No secret there is no ... the events themselves, and technical achievements are planned today, and if nothing extraordinary happens, everything will happen and then, as I predict. I want to believe that in other cases, intuition is not brought me - even though many predictions about a hundred times just prefer to make a mistake! ...
Article printed with abbreviations, wholly it was published in the journal '2000 '- we recommend this magazine to all interested in futurology.
January 1 2001. The beginning of the new century and new millennium. Automatic probe ... Another tip - ... Under the surface of the ice oceans of the largest satellite - Europe - found life, which turned out amazingly similar to the Earth.
2002 Entered the commercial sale of the first device to obtain a ... This event heralded the end of the era of fossil fuel combustion (Fossil-Fuel Age), which could not cause a wave of economic and geopolitical shocks. But U.S. scientists Pons and Fleischman, opened in 1989, ...
2003 Automotive Industry given 5 years is to completely replace all internal combustion engines with new ones, using the energy of ... American automatic station was launched Mars Surveyor ( with planting battery compartment and trolley - ...
2004 appeared the first recorded human clone.
2005 Station Mars Surveyor delivered to Earth the first sample of Martian soil. The Dalai Lama returned to Tibet.
In 2006 India's last coal mine closed in the world.
2007 NASA launched into orbit next generation of orbiting telescopes (the successor to the now existing ... President Chandrika Hamaratunga received the Nobel Peace Prize for bringing peace to Sri Lanka.
26 July 2008 of the film ...
In 2009 the accidental explosion of an atomic warhead is completely wiped out the town in North Korea. After some debate at the United Nations decided on the final destruction of all nuclear weapons.
2010 developed the first quantum generators, ... Available in both home and in a portable version, requiring only a few kilowatts of external power, they could provide power almost indefinitely. Shut down all electricity and nuclear power plants: the era of power lines and switchboards is complete! . - In. T. ), Electronic monitoring actually ...
2011 filmed the biggest form of life surviving on Earth: the giant 75 -meter-long octopus, permanently residing in the Mariana Trench. By a strange coincidence, the same year even larger sea creatures found in oceans of Jupiter's moon - Europe. This happened after the robot scout drilled the first well in the ice, revealing an unprecedented wealth of mankind for extraterrestrial life.
2012 started the first regular flights aerokosmolety (a combination of aircraft and spacecraft ). The history of space travel repeated history of aviation, but it happened much more slowly, because of technological problems have increased by an order from the flight of Yuri Gagarin before the first commercial flights took twice longer than the Wright brothers' biplane from the liner to the DC-3.
2013 The passenger of a commercial space flight - Prince of Brunei - became the first member of the ...
2014.
The construction of the first orbital hotel - Hilton Orbiter Hotel. As a building material giant decided to use the spent fuel tanks ...
2015.
As an inevitable byproduct of lasers person got full control over matter at the atomic level. Implemented the ancient dream of alchemists - and on a commercial scale. The result was a truly sensational event: in a few years, prices for lead and copper exceeded the price of gold, because the former more and more frequently used in industry.
2010.
All world currencies ceased to exist, and the only measure of exchange became megawatt-hour.
2010.
December 16, the opening day of ... China conducted the first nationwide free elections to parliament.
2010.
A large meteorite fell near the North Pole. Human sacrifice was not, however, the explosion lifted a tsunami wave caused considerable damage off the coast of Canada and Greenland. The result was finally launched discussed for many years the project ...
2020.
Artificial intelligence has reached in its ... From this moment on Earth began coexistence of two intelligent life forms, the second evolved at a rate not available to biological evolution. Go to the nearest stars have gone the first ships equipped with artificial intelligence systems.
2021.
The first men landed on Mars, and the surprises did not take long.
2022.
Exact living ... Florida opened the first Triassic Park. Despite a number of unpleasant incidents, launched a program of replacing guard dogs specially trained to mini- dinosaurs.
2024.
Caught infrared signals, marching from the center of the Milky Way. The fact that they sent a highly technological civilization, no doubt, but all attempts to decipher the message failed.
2025.
The rapid growth of neurobiological research has led scientists to a full understanding of how to operate all the senses, after which it became possible to connect directly to the organs of sight, hearing, touch, etc. n. The result of the neurobiological revolution was ... Before a person with ... In addition to using ... And also in the law: a deliberate lie defendant or witness is now lost all meaning. Because the device could operate properly only on a completely shaven skull, hair salon experienced rapid blossoming industry - literally: as a manufacturer of wigs!.
2026.
Singapore became the first country to introduce the principle legislative Honesty Advertising.
2036.
China surpassed the U.S. in terms of gross domestic product, becoming the sole leader in the world economic.
2040.
Brought to a state of perfection ... In a literal sense: ... As a result of this discovery is a thing of the history of agriculture and industry, and with them - and that was the very essence of human existence throughout its long history, routine work, physical and even some creative work! . A society for centuries and millennia based on hunting and harvesting, was forced to transform itself, and large parts of the world, previously served exclusively for the production of food, finally found the original form. And the youth was discharged aggressive instincts with crossbows in a specially organized for the purposes of these games, completely ...
2045.
Brought to perfection House of the Future - a fully autonomous, self-service, operating on a closed loop and a mobile ( something like this for almost a century ago, foresaw the architect, philosopher and visionary Buckminster Fuller ). Additional carbon is required to synthesize food from now extracted from the carbon dioxide extracted from the atmosphere.
2047.
50 years of existence as an independent, free of the Hong Kong said the total abolition of border formalities and slingshots on the border with mainland state.
2050.
... Millions of people who have this peace, devoid of the exciting moments of the era evoked only boredom, decided with the help of cryogenics ... Hoping that there awaits them a life full of real adventure. For this purpose, and under the Antarctic polar regions on the Moon created an extensive repository of frozen until the pores of the best bodies - ...
2051.
The vast undeveloped territory given to lunar colonists to Earth. The colonies are controlled by robots, and are fully self-sufficient, and the basis of the population are elderly, have moved from the earth in the hope to live longer in a weak lunar gravity.
2057.
October 4 - the 100th anniversary of the first satellite. The anniversary is celebrated by people not only on Earth but also on the Moon, Mars, Europa, Ganymede and Titan, as well as space stations, circling around Venus, Neptune and Pluto.
2061.
The return of Halley's comet and the first landing of men on its core. There is a sensational discovery ...
2090.
Mankind has decided to return to the widespread burning of ... This was done to prevent a new ice age, which inevitably would come if a leak of carbon dioxide proceeded at the same rate. Thanks to the measures taken the planet entered a period of Global Warming.
2095.
The invention of the true ... The first expedition to the people went to the prospective planetary systems of nearby stars, which previously visited and studied with robotic probes.
2100.
The story begins.
Discuss.
